Match Preview: Marseille 2-2 Amiens Predictions and Betting Tips, Ligue 1

Tips & Predictions For Today, March 6, 2020.

League: FRANCE: Ligue 1 – Round 28
Match: 21:00 Marseille – Amiens
Tip: Over 1.5 Goals
Odd: 1.40
Bookmaker: BetFair
Match Result: 2:2 WON!!!

Match Preview

  • Marseille’s 3-1 loss in their last home Ligue 1 (L1) outing ended a run of 11 straight home fixtures without a loss in the top flight (W8, D3). Scoring first could be a game decider in any case, as Marseille have won each of the seven L1 home games in which they have scored the opening goal.
  • However, ‘Les Olympiens’ can be slow starters, as seen by the fact that only 26.36% of the L1 home goals they’ve scored this campaign have come before half-time. Furthermore, with at least one goal scored either way after the 85th minute in four of their last six home league games, this game may well witness some late drama.
  • For their part, visitors Amiens travel here after claiming just one win across their last 23 top-flight away fixtures (D10, L12). Unsurprisingly then, they possess the division’s joint-forth worst away defence, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per road trip.
  • Although they have failed to score in each of their last two away games in the league, Amiens know how important scoring first in this game can be. Significantly, ‘Les Licornes’ are winless in each of the eight L1 away games in which they have conceded the opening goal this campaign (D2, L6).
  • Players to watch: If excluding own-goals, Darío Benedetto has been Marseille’s first goalscorer in each of the eight league games in which he has found the net this season. Meanwhile, Sehrou Guirassy has been Amiens’ first goalscorer in nine of the last ten L1 matches where he has netted.
  • Stat attack: Only one of Marseille’s L1 home games to date has seen both sides score before the break.
  • Amiens have conceded 60% of their away league goals beyond the hour mark.
  • The opener has been scored within 20 minutes in each of the last four L1 H2Hs at all venues.