Match Preview: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia Predictions and Betting Tips 12.05.2021

Sevilla – Valencia Predictions & Tips For Today, May 12, 2021.

League: SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 36
Match: 18:00 Sevilla – Valencia
Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Odd: 1.48
Bookmaker: Bet365
Match Result: 1:0 WON!!!

Sevilla – Valencia Match Preview

  • Sevilla’s title challenge hangs by a thread after a draw vs Real Madrid on Sunday, but they could still break up the top-three’s potential eight-year monopoly over the podium. The first step is to build on a return of eight wins from ten La Liga (LL) home matches in 2021, across which six of the last ten halves played out during victories saw Sevilla specifically win 1-0.
  • The hosts’ usual route to success here is to keep it tight late on, and they are still yet to concede a second-half goal from open play during a home league win since the end of the 2019/20 hiatus (June 2020-present). Yet, this approach somewhat explains why their average winning margin in LL home victories this season (1.58) is below that of the top-four overall (2.06).
  • Valencia bookended a six-game winless streak (D3, L3) in style on Sunday, beating Valladolid 3-0 to put themselves just a point away from certain safety. However, they are the universal tip for defeat, and across the last two losses in that recent winless run, they averaged 1.5 goals conceded per match between the 61st-75th minute period.
  • Notably, five of those six games drawn/lost before Sunday witnessed Valencia concede first, but four saw them equalise within 20 minutes of doing so. However, their away form remains dismal, with no competitive road win in nine (D2, L7). Indeed, three of the last five matches therein to produce over 1.5 match goals saw Valencia concede exactly twice before HT.
  • Players to watchYoussef En-Nesyri opened the scoring in Sevilla’s last handicap-beating home win. If Valencia are to overshadow the Moroccan hitman, Maximiliano Gómez may play a part, having scored a right-footed brace on Sunday. Three of his five prior decisive right-footed LL goals have been match openers.
  • Hot stat: Sevilla have seen 14 of their last 15 LL home H2Hs vs Valencia produce under 1.5 total first-half goals.

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